Reel Box Office Predictions: Feb 2-4

The movie business is expected to slow down a bit this weekend due to the Superbowl falling on Sunday. Friday and Saturday grosses are usually fine but Sunday showings are known to take a dip on the big game day. That doesn’t mean there isn’t room for success over the Superbowl weekend.

In 2006, When A Stranger Calls opened to a surprisingly high $21.6 million over Superbowl weekend. That film played to the young adult and female crowd, which allowed it to break out. That doesn’t mean male-skewing films can’t also be successful. Nine years ago, Taken started its impressive box office run over Superbowl weekend with $24.7 million and three years ago the sixth weekend of American Sniper scored with $30.6 million. A lot of big studios take this weekend off but the numbers show there is room for success here.

Maze Runner: The Death Cure is likely to lead the weekend which gives it bragging rights for two weeks at number one by default. There isn’t a huge newcomer opening this weekend and unless that film completely surprises, The Death Cure is staying put until the Fifty Shades Freed crowd takes over next weekend. I’m calling about $13 million for the weekend.

The only newcomer is the horror film Winchester, starring Helen Miren as rifle heiress Sarah Winchester, who constructed a multi-room house in Northern California to ward off the ghosts who have a score to settle with her family. The film has no reviews up as of this writing and I don’t see a huge rush factor but horror has been hot lately and largely unpredictable. Helen Mirren isn’t a big sale with younger women who will make up the bulk of the audience, but she could get older audiences interested in a few frights this weekend. I’m calling about $8-10 million for the weekend.

Check back on Monday for the full box office results!


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About Gaius Bolling 3795 Articles
At the age of five, I knew I wanted to write movies and about them. I've set out to make those dreams come true. As an alumni of the Los Angeles Film Academy, I participated in their Screenwriting program, while building up my expertise in film criticism. I write reviews that relate to the average moviegoer by educating my readers and keeping it fun. My job is to let you know the good, the bad, and the ugly in the world of cinema, so you can have your best moviegoing experience. You can find more of my writing on Instagram @g_reelz.