Reel Box Office Predictions: July 14-16

The box office domination should continue with the release of War For the Planet of the Apes but the question is will it open high enough to take down Spider-Man: Homecoming in weekend 2?

War for the Planet of the Apes easily should beat the domestic opening of its first title in the rebooted trilogy, 2011’s Rise of the Planet of the Apes ($54.8M), and the question remains if it will outstrip its previous chapter, 2014’s Dawn of the Planet of the Apes ($72.6M). Those titles logged final U.S./Canada totals of $176.8M and $208.5M, respectively. The estimated $150M net production cost of War is 12% cheaper than Dawn with the latter title after $710.6M worldwide ticket sales clearing a $182.1M profit after all global home entertainment and TV streams.

Reviews for the third installment are strong with a solid 93% on Rotten Tomatoes as of this writing. This franchise seems very fan specific so it doesn’t leave it much room to break out with everyone but I still think it will beat tracking, which has it opening in the $55-60 million range. I’m calling for $70 million this weekend.

Spider-Man: Homecoming has seen solid weekday business and word of mouth continues to be strong. Some think that it will drop to the $50 million range but I think it could gross about $60 million in weekend 2.

Check back Monday for the full box office results!


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About Gaius Bolling 3795 Articles
At the age of five, I knew I wanted to write movies and about them. I've set out to make those dreams come true. As an alumni of the Los Angeles Film Academy, I participated in their Screenwriting program, while building up my expertise in film criticism. I write reviews that relate to the average moviegoer by educating my readers and keeping it fun. My job is to let you know the good, the bad, and the ugly in the world of cinema, so you can have your best moviegoing experience. You can find more of my writing on Instagram @g_reelz.